Saturday, October 3, 2009

AGW Is Dead

"He's dead Jim" is something my young son Christopher would say when he was a little boy quoting Bones on Star Trek. Well that could well be said of Anthropogenic Global Warming which has been the conventional wisdom for something like a decade due as we now know to selective use of the available data. Cherry picking the data appears to be what was done and now that the entire data set has been used the result is that the hockey stick has indeed disappeared and with it the primary evidence, seeded into data sets driving many climate projections, on which the claim of AGW was based. SEE HERE and HERE. It is probably all over but the shouting unless there is a plausible reason, unlikly, for specifically cherry picking the 12 series used, the only 12 which showed the "desired" effect.

When all the data was used the effect disappears. Here is what the second reference above cites:
McIntyre therefore prepared a revised dataset, replacing Briffa’s selected 12 cores with the 34 from Khadyta River. The revised chronology was simply staggering. The sharp uptick in the series at the end of the twentieth century had vanished, leaving a twentieth century apparently without a significant trend.

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