Saturday, January 2, 2010

The Arctic Is Melting: in 1922

SEE HERE Apparently the arctic ice has seen other times when there was unprecedented melting. The question of course is whether the current alarmist reports of arctic ice melting are legitimate, and also whether there is really any evidence that it has anything to do with global warming or whether on the contrary it has something to do with deep ocean currents that are bringing warmer water than usual up to the arctic so that the melt is from below and not above.

There is of course the question, rarely even acknowledged, of why the model predictions of the IPCC fail to match the actual climate record as shown in the figure. Tsk, tsk, tsk ... isn't science supposed to be about data? Apparently the climate models are what we are required to believe ... ignore the data .... ignore the data! Climategate is an illusion. Well I'm not one to ignore the data when there is any. By the way, check out Climategate analysis HERE.

HERE is a site with some nice animations of data from satellite showing arctic melting and freezing cycles for the past roughly thirty years. Is it significant? Who knows? The classification of ice, one year through five plus years is not really explained.

HERE is some more (this on Antarctic ice), note that we've only had satellite observation since 1979 and the current antarctic value while low is certainly not particularly unprecedented in the record until now.

The proper question is: Do we know enough about the mechanisms involved in arctic and antarctic ice formation to ascribe causality to it? I rather doubt it.

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